Nationwide Battle Comes Down To Homestead

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After 32 races it all comes down to this. At the conclusion of Saturday’s Ford 300 there will be a new Nationwide Series champion. Will it be current point leader Austin Dillon or second place Sam Hornish, Jr.?

After this weekend’s ServiceMaster 200, Dillon got a little bit more breathing room by adding two points to his lead. Hornish showed signs of not giving up, as a poor handling car made his team roll the dice to get him back up near the front. That move worked and showed that they will be a factor in the season finale.

Taking a look at both drivers history at the Homestead-Miami Speedway Hornish has the advantage when it comes to experience. His stat line is five career starts, one top-5 finish, two top-10 finishes, and he’s led nine laps total. Dillon has one start to his credit, but it was a good one. He started third, finished fifth, and led 66 laps.

Comparing last year’s Ford 300, Hornish finish fourth in that race to Dillon’s above mentioned fifth place run. Both led a lap, so using that as a guide, it would still be Dillon’s day. Judging by how their run was at Phoenix, it will be close, but I would give the advantage to the man coming into the race leading, Dillon.

For Dillon to win the championship regardless of what Hornish does he needs to finish third or better. At worst fourth with a lap led and at worst fifth with leading the most laps.

The best part about this is we can forecast what will happen, but that is why they run the races. Anything can happen. The Ford 300 gets underway at 4:30 PM EST and can be seen on ESPN2.